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PBGC Issues Proposed Rule on Actuarial Assumptions for Withdrawal Liability

10/14/2022

 
On October 13, 2022, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (“PBGC”) released a proposed rule on actuarial assumptions that may be used in determining a withdrawing employer’s liability under a multiemployer plan.

Under current law, actuarial assumptions, in combination, must offer the actuary’s best estimate of anticipated experience under the plan.  Actuaries have used interest rates ranging from PBGC settlement rates (currently 3.0% to 4.0%) to funding rates (currently 6.5% to 7.5% for most plans) for years.  However, the use of rates lower than the funding rate has been a topic of much recent litigation.  

The proposed rule makes clear that the use of any interest rate between PBGC rates and funding rates (including a “blended rate”) is a valid approach in determining withdrawal liability, reaffirming decades of actuarial practice.  The selection of such an interest rate for withdrawal liability purposes would not be subject to the “actuary’s best estimate” standard.

The PBGC has requested comments on the proposed rule, which are due November 14, 2022.  Since the rule is in the proposed stage, it is subject to change.
 
A more detailed summary can be viewed at the link below.
Summary of PBGC's Proposed Rule
Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant or use the "contact us" page if you have any questions.

2022 Survey of Capital Market Assumptions

8/24/2022

 
At Horizon Actuarial, we are retirement and healthcare actuaries, not investment professionals.  Therefore, when developing assumptions as to what returns a pension plan’s assets might be expected to earn in the future, we seek input from our colleagues in the investment advisory community.  Each year, we survey different investment advisors and ask them to provide their “capital market assumptions” – their expectations for future risk and returns for different asset classes in which pension funds commonly invest.

The information gathered from this survey can help answer the commonly-asked question: “Are my plan’s investment return assumptions reasonable?”  Of course, there are many factors to consider when evaluating a plan’s investment return assumptions, such as its asset allocation, the maturity of its participant population, and the purpose of the measurement.  Any of these factors can make the expected return for one plan very different from others.  Therefore, this report does not opine on the reasonableness of any one plan’s investment return assumptions.  Nevertheless, we hope this report will be a useful resource for trustees, actuaries, and investment professionals alike.

Horizon Actuarial sincerely thanks the 40 investment advisors who participated in the 2022 edition of this survey.

The report on the results of the 2022 Survey can be viewed below.
2022 Survey of capital market Assumptions
This is the eleventh edition of the survey for which we have published a report.  Prior editions can be found below:
2021 Survey
2016 survey
2020 survey
2015 survey
2019 survey
2014 survey
2018 survey
2013 survey
2017 survey
2012 survey

2021 Survey of Capital Market Assumptions

8/4/2021

 
At Horizon Actuarial, we are retirement and healthcare actuaries, not investment professionals.  Therefore, when developing assumptions as to what returns a pension plan’s assets might be expected to earn in the future, we seek input from our colleagues in the investment advisory community.  Each year, we survey different investment advisors and ask them to provide their “capital market assumptions” – their expectations for future risk and returns for different asset classes in which pension funds commonly invest.

The information gathered from this survey can help answer the commonly-asked question: “Are my plan’s investment return assumptions reasonable?”  Of course, there are many factors to consider when evaluating a plan’s investment return assumptions, such as its asset allocation, the maturity of its participant population, and the purpose of the measurement.  Any of these factors can make the expected return for one plan very different from others.  Therefore, this report does not opine on the reasonableness of any one plan’s investment return assumptions.  Nevertheless, we hope this report will be a useful resource for trustees, actuaries, and investment professionals alike.

Horizon Actuarial sincerely thanks the 39 investment advisors who participated in the 2021 edition of this survey.

The report on the results of the 2021 Survey can be viewed below.
2021 Survey of capital market assumptions
This is the tenth edition of the survey for which we have published a report.  Prior editions can be found below:
2020 Survey
2019 Survey
2018 Survey
2017 survey
2016 survey
2015 survey
2014 Survey
2013 survey
2012 survey

Webcast:  American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 – Multiemployer Pension Provisions

3/25/2021

 

American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 – Multiemployer Pension Provisions

3/11/2021

 
​On March 11, 2021, President Biden signed the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (ARPA) into law.  The key provisions for multiemployer pension plans are outlined here and summarized in more detail in the link below.  In addition, Horizon Actuarial co-sponsored a webinar with Groom Law Group, NCCMP, and Segal Consulting to discuss the relief measures on Tuesday, March 23rd at 12:00PM EDT. Click here to view a recording of the webinar.

  • Special Financial Assistance Program.  ARPA creates and appropriates funding for a financial assistance program for distressed multiemployer plans.  The program is expected to provide approximately $86 billion in relief to plans that meet the eligibility criteria.  These plans include plans in critical and declining status, plans in critical status that meet certain other conditions, plans that previously suspended benefits, and a small group of plans that recently became insolvent.  In general, the assistance is designed to ensure these plans can continue to meet their full benefit obligations for at least the next 30 years.
 
  • Funding Relief.  ARPA also provides temporary funding relief for healthier plans similar to the relief that was provided in the wake of the Great Recession.  This relief includes a zone status delay, funding improvement period and rehabilitation period extensions for plans in endangered/critical status, as well as expanded asset smoothing and funding standard account amortization extensions for certain COVID-19 related experience losses.
 
  • PBGC Premium Increases.  ARPA also includes a modest increase in the per-participant PBGC premiums starting in 2031.  The current per-participant premium of $31 for 2021 will increase each year with inflation until 2031 at which time it will increase to $52 per participant.
 
  • Notable Exclusions.  Previous proposals included discount rate limitations, changes to funding rules other than those noted above, changes in the amount of benefits guaranteed by the PBGC, and provisions for composite plans.  None of these provisions were included in ARPA.
 
A more detailed summary can be viewed at the link below.
ARPA Summary of Multiemployer Pension Provisions
Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant or use the "contact us" page if you have any questions.

The Multiemployer Health Plan Landscape:  A Ten-Year Look (2008-2017)

1/16/2021

 
Horizon Actuarial Services has once again partnered with the International Foundation of Employee Benefits Plans to conduct a study of U.S. multiemployer health plans.  The study covers multiemployer health plans in all industries and the plans in the study have more than five million covered participants.  

The full report – The Multiemployer Health Plan Landscape: A Ten-Year Look (2008-2017) – is available at the International Foundation’s website (link below). The report provides a look at historical trends for U.S. multiemployer health plans for the ten-year period from 2008 to 2017.  It will help plan trustees, professional service providers, and policymakers gain a better understanding of these plans and their environment. The report may also serve as a useful comparison tool, enabling trustees and advisors to understand how their plans compare with others with respect to demographics, benefit costs, income, cash flows, and more.

Selected highlights from the report are as follows:

  • Benefit costs over the past decade have increased on average of 4.8% per year.
  • Employer contributions over the past decade have increased an average of 3.8% per year.
  • More than half of all multiemployer health plans made employer contributions per plan participant per year between $6,000 and $13,999.

This is the fourth edition of the report.
​
Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant if you have any questions.
The Multiemployer Health Plan Landscape:  A Ten-Year Look (2008-2017)

2020 Survey of Capital Market Assumptions

7/16/2020

 
At Horizon Actuarial, we are retirement and healthcare actuaries, not investment professionals.  Therefore, when developing assumptions as to what returns a pension plan’s assets might be expected to earn in the future, we seek input from our colleagues in the investment advisory community.  Each year, we survey different investment advisors and ask them to provide their “capital market assumptions” – their expectations for future risk and returns for different asset classes in which pension funds commonly invest.

The information gathered from this survey can help answer the commonly-asked question: “Are my plan’s investment return assumptions reasonable?”  Of course, there are many factors to consider when evaluating a plan’s investment return assumptions, such as its asset allocation, the maturity of its participant population, and the purpose of the measurement.  Any of these factors can make the expected return for one plan very different from others.  Therefore, this report does not opine on the reasonableness of any one plan’s investment return assumptions.  Nevertheless, we hope this report will be a useful resource for trustees, actuaries, and investment professionals alike.

Horizon Actuarial sincerely thanks the 39 investment advisors who participated in the 2020 edition of this survey.

The report on the results of the 2020 Survey can be viewed below.
2020 survey of capital market assumptions
This is the ninth edition of the survey for which we have published a report.  Prior editions can be found below:
2019 survey
2018 survey
2017 survey
2016 survey
2015 survey
2014 survey
2013 survey
2012 survey

The Multiemployer Retirement Plan Landscape: A Fifteen-Year Look (2003-2017)

6/2/2020

 
Horizon Actuarial Services has partnered with the International Foundation of Employee Benefits Plans to conduct a study of U.S. multiemployer defined benefit pension plans.  The study covers multiemployer plans in all industries, building upon the similar study of construction industry plans that Horizon Actuarial originally conducted with the Mechanical Contractors Association of America (MCAA) in 2012.

The report – The Multiemployer Retirement Plan Landscape: A Fifteen-Year Look (2003-2017) – is available at the International Foundation’s website (link below). The report provides a look at historical trends for U.S. multiemployer retirement plans for the fifteen-year period from 2003 to 2017.  It will help plan trustees, professional service providers, and policymakers gain a better understanding of these plans and their environment. The report may also serve as a useful comparison tool, enabling trustees and advisors to understand how their plans compare with others with respect to demographics, cash flows, investments, and funding.

This is the sixth edition of the report to include information on multiemployer defined contribution (DC) retirement plans, as well as multiemployer defined benefit (DB) pension plans.
​
Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant if you have any questions.
The Multiemployer Retirement Plan Landscape: 2019 Edition

HEROES Act Includes House Democrats' Proposal for Multiemployer Pension Relief

5/15/2020

 
​On May 12, 2020, House Democrats introduced the “Health and Economic Recovery Omnibus Emergency Solutions Act” (HEROES Act) to address the ongoing health and economic crises brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.  The broad reaching stimulus package provides funding for a wide range of groups, and includes significant relief provisions for multiemployer pension plans.  The provisions that would apply to multiemployer pension plans are summarized below.

  • Special Partition Relief.  The bill creates and appropriates funding for a special elective partition program for distressed plans, similar in concept to the partition program introduced in the Multiemployer Pension Recapitalization and Reform Plan on November 20, 2019 by Senate Republicans, and originally considered by the Joint Select Committee in November, 2018.  (As noted below, the more onerous portions of these prior proposals are not included in the HEROES Act.)
    • Eligibility:  Eligible plans include (1) plans in critical and declining status, (2) plans in critical status with a current liability funded percentage less than 40% and an active to inactive participant ratio less than 2 to 3, and (3) plans that previously suspended benefits under MPRA 2014.  The eligibility criteria must be met between 2020 and 2024.
    • Amount of Partition: The PBGC would assume liabilities in an amount needed to restore the plan to solvency and project a funded percentage of 80% within 30 years.  The amount of assistance would be adjusted every 5 years.
    • Conditions: The PBGC would have authority to issue regulations imposing conditions on partitioned plans, however, PBGC would be prohibited from requiring benefit reductions and interfering with plan governance or funding.
 
  • Funding Relief.  The bill provides funding relief similar to the relief provided by WRERA 2008 and PRA 2010 for plans that do not meet the eligibility criteria for a partition.
    • Zone Status Delay:  Plans could elect to retain their zone status for plan years beginning March 1, 2019 through February 29, 2020 for the 2 succeeding plan years beginning March 1, 2020 through February 28, 2022.
    • FIP/RP Extensions:  Plans in endangered or critical status in 2020 or 2021 (after application of the zone status delay) could elect to extend their funding improvement period or rehabilitation period by 5 years.
    • Asset Smoothing:  Plans could elect to smooth investment losses incurred in the 2-year period from March 1, 2020 through February 28, 2022 over 10 years rather than 5 in the actuarial value of assets.
    • Credit Balance:  Plans could elect to amortize investment losses incurred in the 2-year period from March 1, 2020 through February 28, 2022 over 29 years rather than 15 for purposes of the Funding Standard Account (FSA) credit balance.
    • Restrictions on Benefit Improvements:  Plans that optionally elect any combination of asset smoothing or credit balance relief would be restricted from making benefit improvements for 2 years following the asset method change or establishment of an extended FSA base.
 
  • PBGC Guarantee Increase.  The bill would increase the PBGC’s maximum guaranteed annual benefit for a career employee with 30 years of service from $12,870 to $24,300.  The increased guarantee would apply to all plans that became insolvent on or after December 16, 2014.
    • Current Benefit Guarantee:  100% of the monthly accrual rate up to $11.00 plus 75% of the next $33.00 of monthly accrual rate multiplied by years of service.
    • Proposed Benefit Guarantee:  100% of the monthly accrual rate up to $15.00 plus 75% of the next $70.00 of monthly accrual rate multiplied by years of service.
 
  • Repeal of MPRA Benefit Suspensions.  Benefit suspensions under MPRA would be unavailable to critical and declining plans going forward.  As noted above, plans that previously suspended benefits could apply for a special partition.  Such plans would be required to reinstate any benefits that were suspended, and repay previously suspended benefits either in a lump sum or in equal installments over 5 years.
 
  • Composite Plans.  The bill would give plans the option of adopting composite plan designs.  Composite plan designs were initially considered as a part of the “Solutions Not Bailouts” proposal leading up to MPRA 2014 and were reintroduced as a part of the “Giving Retirement Options to Workers Act” (GROW Act) in February, 2018.
    • Funded Percentage Target:  Composite plans are required to project a funded percentage of 120% within 15 years or they are subject to a “realignment program” as described below.
    • Realignment Program:  A realignment program is similar to a funding improvement plan or a rehabilitation plan, but also provides for a reduction in accrued benefits if other options to improve funding are not sufficient to achieve the funded percentage target noted above.
    • PBGC Premium/Guarantee:  Composite plans would not be covered by the PBGC, nor would they be required to pay PBGC premiums.
    • Legacy Plan:  Benefits would be frozen.  Contribution requirements, PBGC guarantees/premiums, and PPA funding rules would continue to apply.
 
  • Notable Exclusions.  Perhaps as important as the above provisions that were included in the bill are the below provisions that were NOT included.
    • PBGC Premium Increases:  The bill does not include any changes to the amount or structure of current PBGC premiums.
    • Discount Rate Limitation:  The bill does not include any limitation on the actuarial discount rate used to calculation plan liabilities.
    • Funding Rule Changes:  There are no significant changes in the funding rules other than those noted above.
 
HORIZON ACTUARIAL COMMENTARY:  The bill provides significant relief for multiemployer plans and goes a long way towards securing the retirement benefits for millions of hard working men and women and their families.  Absent relief similar to that provided in the HEROES Act, a few large multiemployer plans would fail. The failure of these plans would cause the PBGC to become insolvent (currently projected in 2025), and would result in participants receiving pennies on the dollar of their promised benefits.  The ultimate outcome would be an increased reliance on social safety nets, significant employer failures, and a potential cascade of negative effects for the multiemployer system and broader economy. 

Importantly, the bill does not include any PBGC premium increases and does not limit the actuarial discount rate assumption, both of which would be counterproductive to the goal of securing worker benefits and providing meaningful retirement income to the more than 10 million participants and beneficiaries in the multiemployer system.  While not everyone will agree with all provisions of the bill, it provides necessary relief at a critical juncture for all multiemployer pension plans.

Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant or use the "contact us" page if you have any questions.

UA/MCAA Analysis of the Cost Impact of the Grassley/Alexander Proposal

12/13/2019

 
The United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing, Pipefitting and Sprinkler Fitting Industry of the United States and Canada (United Association), Mechanical Contractors Association of America, Inc. (MCAA), and Horizon Actuarial Services, LLC have partnered to conduct an analysis of the multiemployer pension reform proposal released by Senators Charles E. Grassley (R-IA) and Lamar Alexander (R-TN) on November 20, 2019.

This analysis focuses on two key changes in the proposal – increases in PBGC premiums and limitations on discount rates, and their implications for UA multiemployer plans. Each of the proposed changes would significantly increase contribution requirements.  The report also opines on the proposed changes to the calculation of employer withdrawal liability.
​
The report can be viewed below.
UA/MCAA Analysis of the Cost Impact of the Grassley/Alexander Proposal

Please contact your Horizon Actuarial consultant if you have questions about the report or how the proposal might impact your plan.
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